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Yanfei Kang, Ph.D
Associate Professor
Head of the Department of Quantitative Economics & Business Statistics 
School of Economics and Management 
Beihang University 
Beijing 100191 China
 
Email: yanfeikang@buaa.edu.cn 
Please feel free to contact me or visit my KLLAB.org  and also checkout my research areas!

0000-0001-8769-6650

News

Research Interests

  • Forecasting
  • Statistical Computing
  • Big Data and Machine Learning

Education

Positions

  • November 2016 – Present, Associate Professor, School of Economics and Management, Beihang University.
  • August 2015 – August 2016, Senior R&D Engineer, Big Data Group, Baidu Inc.
  • August 2014 – July 2015, Postdoc Research Fellow, Monash University, Australia.

Working papers under review

  1. Bohan Zhang, Anastasios Panagiotelis, Feng Li, Yanfei Kang* (2023). Discrete forecast reconciliation. Working paper.
  2. Shengjie Wang, Yanfei Kang, Fotios Petropoulos, Feng Li (2023). Combining Probabilistic Forecasts of Intermittent Demand. Working paper.
  3. Christoph Bergmeir, Frits de Nijs, Abishek Sriramulu, Mahdi Abolghasemi, Richard Bean, John Betts, Quang Bui, Nam Trong Dinh, Nils Einecke, Rasul Esmaeilbeigi, Scott Ferraro, Priya Galketiya, Evgenii Genov, Robert Glasgow, Rakshitha Godahewa, Yanfei Kang, Steffen Limmer, Luis Magdalena, Pablo Montero-Manso, Daniel Peralta, Yogesh Pipada Sunil Kumar, Alejandro Rosales-Pérez, Julian Ruddick, Akylas Stratigakos, Peter Stuckey, Guido Tack, Isaac Triguero, Rui Yuan (2022). Comparison and Evaluation of Methods for a Predict+ Optimize Problem in Renewable Energy. Working paper.
  4. Xiaoqian Wang, Yanfei Kang, Feng Li (2022). Another look at forecast trimming for combinations: robustness, accuracy and diversity. Working paper.

Publications

  1. Spyros Makridakis, Fotios Petropoulos, Yanfei Kang* (2023). Large Language Models: Their success and impact. Forecasting 5(3), 536-549, doi: 10.3390/forecast5030030. Online.
  2. Spyros Makridakis, Fotios Petropoulos, Yanfei Kang* (2023). The Impact of Large Language Models like ChatGPT on Forecasting. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting 69:61-62. Online.
  3. Yun Bai, Ganglin Tian, Yanfei Kang*, Suling Jia (2023). A hybrid ensemble method with negative correlation learning for regression (in press). Machine Learning. Online. Working paper.
  4. Xiaoqian Wang, Rob Hyndman, Feng Li, Yanfei Kang* (2023). Forecast combinations: an over 50-year review. International Journal of Forecasting 39(4): 1518-1547, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.11.005. Online. Working paper.
  5. Bohan Zhang, Yanfei Kang, Anastasios Panagiotelis, Feng Li (2022). Optimal reconciliation with immutable forecasts. European Journal of Operational Research 308(2): 650-660, doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2022.11.035. Online. Working paper.
  6. Li Li, Yanfei Kang, Fotios Petropoulos, Feng Li (2022). Feature-based intermittent demand forecast combinations: accuracy and inventory implications (in press). International Journal of Production Research, doi: 10.1080/00207543.2022.2153941. Online. Working paper.
  7. Li Li, Yanfei Kang, Feng Li (2023). Bayesian forecast combination using time-varying features. International Journal of Forecasting 39(3): 1187-1302, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.06.002. Online. Working paper.
  8. Xiaoqian Wang, Yanfei Kang, Rob Hyndman, Feng Li (2023). Distributed ARIMA models for ultra-long time series. International Journal of Forecasting 39(3): 1163-1184, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.05.001. Online. Working paper. Spark implementation.
  9. Xixi Li, Fotios Petropoulos, Yanfei Kang* (2023). Improving forecasting by subsampling seasonal time series International Journal of Production Research 61(3): 976-992, doi: 10.1080/00207543.2021.2022800. Online. Working paper.
  10. Petropoulos, F., Apiletti, D., Assimakopoulos, V., Babai, M.Z., Barrow, D.K., Bergmeir, C., Bessa, R.J., Boylan, J.E., Browell, J., Carnevale, C., Castle, J.L., Cirillo, P., Clements, M.P., Cordeiro, C., Cyrino Oliveira, F.L., De Baets, S., Dokumentov, A., Fiszeder, P., Franses, P.H., Gilliland, M., Gönül, M.S., Goodwin, P., Grossi, L., Grushka-Cockayne, Y., Guidolin, M., Guidolin, M., Gunter, U., Guo, X., Guseo, R., Harvey, N., Hendry, D.F., Hollyman, R., Januschowski, T., Jeon, J., Jose, V.R.R., Kang, Y., Koehler, A.B., Kolassa, S., Kourentzes, N., Leva, S., Li, F., Litsiou, K., Makridakis, S., Martinez, A.B., Meeran, S., Modis, T., Nikolopoulos, K., Önkal, D., Paccagnini, A., Panapakidis, I., Pavía, J.M., Pedio, M., Pedregal Tercero, D.J., Pinson, P., Ramos, P., Rapach, D., Reade, J.J., Rostami-Tabar, B., Rubaszek, M., Sermpinis, G., Shang, H.L., Spiliotis, E., Syntetos, A.A., Talagala, P.D., Talagala, T.S., Tashman, L., Thomakos, D., Thorarinsdottir, T., Todini, E., Trapero Arenas, J.R., Wang, X., Winkler, R.L., Yusupova, A., Ziel, Z. (2022). Forecasting: theory and practice (in press). International Journal of Forecasting 38(3): 705-871, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001. Online. Working paper. Bookdown version.
  11. Yanfei Kang, Wei Cao, Fotios Petropoulos, Feng Li (2021). Forecast with forecasts: Diversity matters. European Journal of Operational Research 301(1): 180-190, doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.10.024. Online. Working paper.
  12. Xixi Li#, Yun Bai#, Yanfei Kang* (2022). Exploring the social influence of Kaggle virtual community on the M5 competition. International Journal of Forecasting 38(4): 1507-1518, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.10.001. Online. Working paper.
  13. Evangelos Theodorou#, Shengjie Wang#, Yanfei Kang*, Evangelos Spiliotis, Spyros Makridakis, Vassilios Assimakopoulos (2022). Exploring the representativeness of the M5 competition data, International Journal of Forecasting 38(4): 1500-1506, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.07.006. Online. Working paper.
  14. Thiyanga S. Talagala, Feng Li, Yanfei Kang* (2022). FFORMPP: Feature-based forecast model performance prediction, International Journal of Forecasting 38(3): 920-943, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.07.002. Online. Working paper. R package.
  15. Kasun Bandara, Hansika Hewamalage, Yuan-Hao Liu, Yanfei Kang, Christoph Bergmeir (2021). Improving the accuracy of global forecasting models using time series data augmentation, Pattern Recognition 120:108148, doi: 10.1016/j.patcog.2021.108148. Online. Working paper.
  16. Xiaoqian Wang, Yanfei Kang, Fotios Petropoulos, Feng Li (2021). The uncertainty estimation of feature-based forecast combinations, Journal of the Operational Research Society 73(5): 979-993, doi: 10.1080/01605682.2021.1880297. Online. Working paper. R package.
  17. Yanfei Kang, Evangelos Spiliotis, Fotios Petropoulos, Nikolaos Athiniotis, Feng Li, Vassilios Assimakopoulo (2021). Déjà vu: A data-centric forecasting approach through time series cross-similarity, Journal of Business Research 132: 719-731, doi: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.10.051. Online. Working paper. Online app.
  18. Xixi Li, Yanfei Kang, Feng Li (2020). Forecasting with time series imaging, Expert Systems with Applications 160: 113680, doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2020.113680. Online. Working paper. Code.
  19. Yanfei Kang, Rob J Hyndman, Feng Li (2020). GRATIS: GeneRAting TIme Series with diverse and controllable characteristics, Statistical Analysis and Data Mining 13(4): 354-376, doi: 10.1002/sam.11461. Online. Working paper. R package. Shiny app.
  20. Yitian Chen, Yanfei Kang*, Yixiong Chen, Zizhuo Wang (2020). Probabilistic forecasting with temporal convolutional neural network, Neurocomputing 399: 491-501, doi:10.1016/j.neucom.2020.03.011. Online. Code.
  21. Feng Li, Yanfei Kang* (2018). Improving forecasting performance using covariate-dependent copula models, International Journal of Forecasting 34(3): 456-476, doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.01.007. Online.
  22. Yanfei Kang*, Rob J. Hyndman, Kate Smith-Miles. (2017). Visualising forecasting algorithm performance using time Series instance space. International Journal of Forecasting 33(2): 345–358, doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.09.004. Online.
  23. Yanfei Kang, Danijel Belusic, Kate Smith-Miles. (2015). Classes of structures in the stable atmospheric boundary layer. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 141(691): 2057–2069, doi: 10.1002/qj.2501. Online. R package.
  24. Yanfei Kang. (2015). Detection, classification and analysis of events in turbulence time series. Bulletin of the Australian Mathematical Society 91(3): 521-522, doi: 10.1017/S0004972715000106. Online.
  25. Yanfei Kang, Danijel Belusic, Kate Smith-Miles. (2014). Detecting and classifying events in noisy time series. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 71(3): 1090–1104, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0182.1. Online.
  26. Yanfei Kang, Danijel Belusic, Kate Smith-Miles. (2014). A note on the relationship between turbulent coherent structures and phase correlation. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 24(2) 023114: 1-6, doi: 10.1063/1.4875260. Online.
  27. Yanfei Kang, Danijel Belusic, Kate Smith-Miles. (2013). How to extract meaningful shapes from noisy time-series subsequences? In: Proceedings of the 2013 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Data Mining (CIDM). IEEE, pp. 65–72, doi: 10.1109/CIDM.2013.6597219. Online.
  28. Yanfei Kang. (2012). Real-time change detection in time series based on growing feature quantization. In: Proceedings of the 2012 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). IEEE, pp. 1–6, doi: 10.1109/IJCNN.2012.6252381. Online.

Awards

  • 100-Talent Program, by Beihang University, 2016.
  • Best New Employee, by Baidu, 2015.
  • Ph.D. scholarship for oversea studies, by Chinese Scholarship Council (CSC), 2010.
  • First Class Scholarship, by Renmin University of China, 2009.
  • Outstanding Graduate of Shandong University of Finance and Economics, 2009.
  • National Scholarship, by Ministry of Education of China, 2008.